Bulletin No.: BOB 04/2013/30
Sub: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘PHAILIN’ over westcentral & adjoining northwest Bay of
Bengal: Cyclone Warning for North Andhra Pradesh and Odisha Coast.
Sub: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘PHAILIN’ over westcentral & adjoining northwest Bay of
Bengal: Cyclone Warning for North Andhra Pradesh and Odisha Coast.
The very severe cyclonic storm, PHAILIN over westcentral & adjoining northwest Bay of
Bengal moved northwestwards during past 6 hours with a speed of 15 kmph and lay centred at 0830
hrs IST of today, the 12 th October 2013 over westcentral & adjoining northwest Bay of Bengal near
latitude 17.8 0 N and longitude 86.0 0 E, about 200 km southeast of Gopalpur, 200 km east-southeast
of Kalingapatnam and 280 km southeast of Paradip. It would move northwestwards and cross north
Andhra Pradesh and Odisha coasts between Kalingapatnam and Paradip, close to Gopalpur
(Odisha) by evening of today i.e. the 12 th October, 2013 as a very severe cyclonic storm with a
maximum sustained wind speed of 210-220 kmph gusting to 240 kmph.
Estimated track and intensity of the system are given in the Table below:
Date/Time(IST)
Position
(Lat. 0 N/ Long. 0 E)
Sustained maximum surface
wind speed (kmph)
Category
12-10-2013/0830 17.8/86.0 210-220 gusting to 240 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
12-10-2013/1130 18.3/85.5 210-220 gusting to 240 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
12-10-2013/1730 19.1/84.9 210-220 gusting to 240 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
12-10-2013/2330 19.8/84.5 170-180 gusting to 200 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
13-10-2013/0530 20.5/83.9 80-90 gusting to 100 Severe Cyclonic Storm
13-10-2013/1730 21.0/84.1 50-60 gusting to 70 Deep Depression
14.10.2013/0530 22.0/83.5 40-50 gusting to 60 Depression
Warning for Odisha, Andhra Pradesh and West Bengal
(i) Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places and isolated extremely
heavy falls (≥ 25 cm) would occur over coastal Odisha during next 48 hrs and over interior
Odisha from today afternoon for subsequent 48 hrs. Rainfall at most places with isolated
heavy to very heavy falls would also occur over north coastal Andhra Pradesh during next 48
hrs. Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall would occur over coastal areas of West Bengal
commencing from afternoon of today i.e. the 12 th October.
(ii) Gale wind: Gale winds speed reaching 70-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmph would prevail along
and off Odisha and north Andhra Pradesh coasts during next 6 hours. It would increase in
intensity thereafter with gale wind speed reaching 100-150 kmph from noon and 210-220
kmph gusting to 235 along and off coastal districts of north coastal Andhra Pradesh and
south Odisha at the time of landfall. State of Sea along and off Odisha and north Andhra
Pradesh coast is high and will become gradually phenomenal from forenoon of today. It will
be rough to very rough along and off West Bengal coast during the above period.
(iii) Storm Surge Guidance: Storm surge with height of 3.0 to 3.5 metre. above astronomical tide
would inundate low lying areas of Ganjam, Khurda, Puri and Jagatsinghpur districts of Odisha and
Srikakulam district of Andhra Pradesh during landfall.
Warning for Odisha, Andhra Pradesh and West Bengal
(i) Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places and isolated extremely
heavy falls (≥ 25 cm) would occur over coastal Odisha during next 48 hrs and over interior
Odisha from today afternoon for subsequent 48 hrs. Rainfall at most places with isolated
heavy to very heavy falls would also occur over north coastal Andhra Pradesh during next 48
hrs. Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall would occur over coastal areas of West Bengal
commencing from afternoon of today i.e. the 12 th October.
(ii) Gale wind: Gale winds speed reaching 70-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmph would prevail along
and off Odisha and north Andhra Pradesh coasts during next 6 hours. It would increase in
intensity thereafter with gale wind speed reaching 100-150 kmph from noon and 210-220
kmph gusting to 235 along and off coastal districts of north coastal Andhra Pradesh and
south Odisha at the time of landfall. State of Sea along and off Odisha and north Andhra
Pradesh coast is high and will become gradually phenomenal from forenoon of today. It will
be rough to very rough along and off West Bengal coast during the above period.
(iii) Storm Surge Guidance: Storm surge with height of 3.0 to 3.5 metre. above astronomical tide
would inundate low lying areas of Ganjam, Khurda, Puri and Jagatsinghpur districts of Odisha and
Srikakulam district of Andhra Pradesh during landfall.
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(iv) Damage expected over Odisha and adjoining north Andhra Pradesh: Extensive damage to
kutcha houses. Some damage to old buildings. Large scale disruption of power and communication
lines. Disruption of rail and road traffic due to extensive flooding. Potential threat from flying debris.
Flooding of escape routes. Extensive damage to agricultural crops.
(v) Action suggested: Fishermen are advised not to venture into sea along north Andhra Pradesh,
Odisha and West Bengal coast. Total suspension of fishing operations. Large scale evacuation of
population from coastal areas. Total suspension of rail and road traffic in vulnerable areas . People in
affected areas to remain indoors.
Post landfall outlook: Even after landfall the system is likely to maintain the intensity of very
cyclonic storm for 6 hours and gradually weaken into a cyclonic storm in subsequent 6 hours while
moving northwestwards across interior Odisha. Under its influence rainfall at most places with heavy
falls at a few places and extremely heavy falls at isolated places would occur over Odisha. Rainfall at
many places with isolated heavy to very heavy falls would also occur over north coastal Andhra
Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and south Jharkhand. Squally wind speed reaching 100-120 kmph would also
prevail for 6 hours and 60-70 for subsequent 6 hours over Odisha during the same period.
The next bulletin will be issued at 1430 hrs IST of today, the 12 th October, 2013.
(iv) Damage expected over Odisha and adjoining north Andhra Pradesh: Extensive damage to
kutcha houses. Some damage to old buildings. Large scale disruption of power and communication
lines. Disruption of rail and road traffic due to extensive flooding. Potential threat from flying debris.
Flooding of escape routes. Extensive damage to agricultural crops.
(v) Action suggested: Fishermen are advised not to venture into sea along north Andhra Pradesh,
Odisha and West Bengal coast. Total suspension of fishing operations. Large scale evacuation of
population from coastal areas. Total suspension of rail and road traffic in vulnerable areas . People in
affected areas to remain indoors.
Post landfall outlook: Even after landfall the system is likely to maintain the intensity of very
cyclonic storm for 6 hours and gradually weaken into a cyclonic storm in subsequent 6 hours while
moving northwestwards across interior Odisha. Under its influence rainfall at most places with heavy
falls at a few places and extremely heavy falls at isolated places would occur over Odisha. Rainfall at
many places with isolated heavy to very heavy falls would also occur over north coastal Andhra
Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and south Jharkhand. Squally wind speed reaching 100-120 kmph would also
prevail for 6 hours and 60-70 for subsequent 6 hours over Odisha during the same period.
The next bulletin will be issued at 1430 hrs IST of today, the 12 th October, 2013.